Supervised Learning : Comparing Batch, Stochastic and Mini-Batch Approaches to Gradient Descent in Estimating Regression Coefficients¶


John Pauline Pineda

March 9, 2024


  • 1. Table of Contents
    • 1.1 Data Background
    • 1.2 Data Description
    • 1.3 Data Quality Assessment
    • 1.4 Data Preprocessing
      • 1.4.1 Data Cleaning
      • 1.4.2 Missing Data Imputation
      • 1.4.3 Outlier Treatment
      • 1.4.4 Collinearity
      • 1.4.5 Shape Transformation
      • 1.4.6 Centering and Scaling
      • 1.4.7 Data Encoding
      • 1.4.8 Preprocessed Data Description
    • 1.5 Data Exploration
      • 1.5.1 Exploratory Data Analysis
      • 1.5.2 Hypothesis Testing
    • 1.6 Linear Regression Model Coefficient Estimation
      • 1.6.1 Premodelling Data Description
      • 1.6.2 Normal Equations
      • 1.6.3 Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate
      • 1.6.4 Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate
      • 1.6.5 Stochastic Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate
      • 1.6.6 Stochastic Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate
      • 1.6.7 Mini-Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate
      • 1.6.8 Mini-Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate
    • 1.7 Consolidated Findings
  • 2. Summary
  • 3. References

1. Table of Contents ¶

This project manually implements the Batch Gradient Descent, Stochastic Gradient Descent and Mini-Batch Gradient Descent algorithms using various helpful packages in Python, and evaluates a range of values for the learning rate to optimally estimate the coefficients of a linear regression model. The gradient descent path and cost function optimization profiles of the different candidate parameter settings were compared, with the resulting estimated coefficients assessed against those obtained using normal equations which served as the reference baseline values. All results were consolidated in a Summary presented at the end of the document.

Linear Regression explores the linear relationship between a scalar response and one or more covariates by having the conditional mean of the dependent variable be an affine function of the independent variables. The relationship is modeled through a disturbance term which represents an unobserved random variable that adds noise. The algorithm is typically formulated from the data using the least squares method which seeks to estimate the coefficients by minimizing the squared residual function. The linear equation assigns one scale factor represented by a coefficient to each covariate and an additional coefficient called the intercept or the bias coefficient which gives the line an additional degree of freedom allowing to move up and down a two-dimensional plot.

Regression Coefficients represent the changes in the independent variable which explain the variation of the dependent variable in the model. The methods applied in this study attempt to estimate the unknown model coefficients by optimizing a loss function - that which measures the quality of the estimated parameters based on how well the model-induced scores agree with the ground truth labels in the data set.

Normal Equations are a system of equations whose solution is the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator of the regression coefficients and which are derived from the first-order condition of the least squares minimization problem. These equations are obtained by setting equal to zero the partial derivatives of the sum of squared errors (least squares). This approach is a closed-form solution and a one-step algorithm used to analytically find the coefficients that minimize the loss function.

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Batch Gradient Descent uses the entire training dataset to compute the gradients of the loss function with respect to the model parameters. The gradients are computed for all training examples simultaneously, and then the model parameters are updated accordingly. This approach provides the most accurate estimate of the gradient, as it considers all data points. However, it can be computationally expensive, especially for large datasets, because it requires processing the entire dataset in each iteration. Despite its computational cost, full batch gradient descent is guaranteed to converge to the global minimum of the loss function, assuming the learning rate is appropriately chosen and the loss function is convex.

Stochastic Gradient Descent uses only one randomly selected training example at each iteration to compute the gradient of the loss function. The model parameters are updated based on the gradient computed from this single example. Since this approach updates the parameters more frequently with noisy estimates of the gradient, it tends to have more frequent but noisy updates, leading to faster convergence in terms of wall-clock time compared to full batch gradient descent. However, the stochastic nature of the updates can cause oscillations in the training process, and the updates may not accurately represent the true direction of the gradient.

Mini-Batch Gradient Descent serves as a compromise between full batch gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent. Instead of processing the entire dataset or just one example at a time, mini-batch gradient descent divides the dataset into small batches of fixed size. The gradients are computed for each mini-batch, and the model parameters are updated based on the average gradient computed from the mini-batch. This approach combines the advantages of both full batch and stochastic gradient descent. It provides more stable updates compared to stochastic gradient descent while being computationally more efficient than full batch gradient descent. The batch size can be adjusted based on computational resources and desired convergence properties.

1.1. Data Background ¶

Datasets used for the analysis were separately gathered and consolidated from various sources including:

  1. Cancer Rates from World Population Review
  2. Social Protection and Labor Indicator from World Bank
  3. Education Indicator from World Bank
  4. Economy and Growth Indicator from World Bank
  5. Environment Indicator from World Bank
  6. Climate Change Indicator from World Bank
  7. Agricultural and Rural Development Indicator from World Bank
  8. Social Development Indicator from World Bank
  9. Health Indicator from World Bank
  10. Science and Technology Indicator from World Bank
  11. Urban Development Indicator from World Bank
  12. Human Development Indices from Human Development Reports
  13. Environmental Performance Indices from Yale Center for Environmental Law and Policy

This study hypothesized that various global development indicators and indices influence cancer rates across countries.

The target variable for the study is:

  • CANRAT - Age-standardized cancer rates, per 100K population (2022)

The predictor variables for the study are:

  • GDPPER - GDP per person employed, current US Dollars (2020)
  • URBPOP - Urban population, % of total population (2020)
  • PATRES - Patent applications by residents, total count (2020)
  • RNDGDP - Research and development expenditure, % of GDP (2020)
  • POPGRO - Population growth, annual % (2020)
  • LIFEXP - Life expectancy at birth, total in years (2020)
  • TUBINC - Incidence of tuberculosis, per 100K population (2020)
  • DTHCMD - Cause of death by communicable diseases and maternal, prenatal and nutrition conditions, % of total (2019)
  • AGRLND - Agricultural land, % of land area (2020)
  • GHGEMI - Total greenhouse gas emissions, kt of CO2 equivalent (2020)
  • RELOUT - Renewable electricity output, % of total electricity output (2015)
  • METEMI - Methane emissions, kt of CO2 equivalent (2020)
  • FORARE - Forest area, % of land area (2020)
  • CO2EMI - CO2 emissions, metric tons per capita (2020)
  • PM2EXP - PM2.5 air pollution, population exposed to levels exceeding WHO guideline value, % of total (2017)
  • POPDEN - Population density, people per sq. km of land area (2020)
  • GDPCAP - GDP per capita, current US Dollars (2020)
  • ENRTER - Tertiary school enrollment, % gross (2020)
  • HDICAT - Human development index, ordered category (2020)
  • EPISCO - Environment performance index , score (2022)

1.2. Data Description ¶

  1. The dataset is comprised of:
    • 177 rows (observations)
    • 22 columns (variables)
      • 1/22 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/22 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 19/22 predictor (numeric)
        • GDPPER
        • URBPOP
        • PATRES
        • RNDGDP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • RELOUT
        • METEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • PM2EXP
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • ENRTER
        • EPISCO
      • 1/22 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT
In [1]:
##################################
# Loading Python Libraries
##################################
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import seaborn as sns
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import itertools
import os
%matplotlib inline

from operator import add,mul,truediv
from sklearn.experimental import enable_iterative_imputer
from sklearn.impute import IterativeImputer
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.preprocessing import PowerTransformer, StandardScaler
from scipy import stats

from sklearn.linear_model import RidgeCV, LassoCV, ElasticNetCV
from sklearn.metrics import r2_score,mean_squared_error,mean_absolute_error
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, LeaveOneOut
from sklearn.preprocessing import PolynomialFeatures 
from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
In [2]:
##################################
# Defining file paths
##################################
DATASETS_ORIGINAL_PATH = r"datasets\original"
In [3]:
##################################
# Loading the dataset
# from the DATASETS_ORIGINAL_PATH
##################################
cancer_rate = pd.read_csv(os.path.join("..", DATASETS_ORIGINAL_PATH, "NumericCancerRates.csv"))
In [4]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(177, 22)
In [5]:
##################################
# Listing the column names and data types
##################################
print('Column Names and Data Types:')
display(cancer_rate.dtypes)
Column Names and Data Types:
COUNTRY     object
CANRAT     float64
GDPPER     float64
URBPOP     float64
PATRES     float64
RNDGDP     float64
POPGRO     float64
LIFEXP     float64
TUBINC     float64
DTHCMD     float64
AGRLND     float64
GHGEMI     float64
RELOUT     float64
METEMI     float64
FORARE     float64
CO2EMI     float64
PM2EXP     float64
POPDEN     float64
ENRTER     float64
GDPCAP     float64
HDICAT      object
EPISCO     float64
dtype: object
In [6]:
##################################
# Taking a snapshot of the dataset
##################################
cancer_rate.head()
Out[6]:
COUNTRY CANRAT GDPPER URBPOP PATRES RNDGDP POPGRO LIFEXP TUBINC DTHCMD ... RELOUT METEMI FORARE CO2EMI PM2EXP POPDEN ENRTER GDPCAP HDICAT EPISCO
0 Australia 452.4 98380.63601 86.241 2368.0 NaN 1.235701 83.200000 7.2 4.941054 ... 13.637841 131484.763200 17.421315 14.772658 24.893584 3.335312 110.139221 51722.06900 VH 60.1
1 New Zealand 422.9 77541.76438 86.699 348.0 NaN 2.204789 82.256098 7.2 4.354730 ... 80.081439 32241.937000 37.570126 6.160799 NaN 19.331586 75.734833 41760.59478 VH 56.7
2 Ireland 372.8 198405.87500 63.653 75.0 1.23244 1.029111 82.556098 5.3 5.684596 ... 27.965408 15252.824630 11.351720 6.768228 0.274092 72.367281 74.680313 85420.19086 VH 57.4
3 United States 362.2 130941.63690 82.664 269586.0 3.42287 0.964348 76.980488 2.3 5.302060 ... 13.228593 748241.402900 33.866926 13.032828 3.343170 36.240985 87.567657 63528.63430 VH 51.1
4 Denmark 351.1 113300.60110 88.116 1261.0 2.96873 0.291641 81.602439 4.1 6.826140 ... 65.505925 7778.773921 15.711000 4.691237 56.914456 145.785100 82.664330 60915.42440 VH 77.9

5 rows × 22 columns

In [7]:
##################################
# Setting the levels of the categorical variables
##################################
cancer_rate['HDICAT'] = cancer_rate['HDICAT'].astype('category')
cancer_rate['HDICAT'] = cancer_rate['HDICAT'].cat.set_categories(['L', 'M', 'H', 'VH'], ordered=True)
In [8]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the numeric variables
##################################
print('Numeric Variable Summary:')
display(cancer_rate.describe(include='number').transpose())
Numeric Variable Summary:
count mean std min 25% 50% 75% max
CANRAT 177.0 183.829379 7.974340e+01 78.400000 118.100000 155.300000 240.400000 4.524000e+02
GDPPER 165.0 45284.424283 3.941794e+04 1718.804896 13545.254510 34024.900890 66778.416050 2.346469e+05
URBPOP 174.0 59.788121 2.280640e+01 13.345000 42.432750 61.701500 79.186500 1.000000e+02
PATRES 108.0 20607.388889 1.340683e+05 1.000000 35.250000 244.500000 1297.750000 1.344817e+06
RNDGDP 74.0 1.197474 1.189956e+00 0.039770 0.256372 0.873660 1.608842 5.354510e+00
POPGRO 174.0 1.127028 1.197718e+00 -2.079337 0.236900 1.179959 2.031154 3.727101e+00
LIFEXP 174.0 71.746113 7.606209e+00 52.777000 65.907500 72.464610 77.523500 8.456000e+01
TUBINC 174.0 105.005862 1.367229e+02 0.770000 12.000000 44.500000 147.750000 5.920000e+02
DTHCMD 170.0 21.260521 1.927333e+01 1.283611 6.078009 12.456279 36.980457 6.520789e+01
AGRLND 174.0 38.793456 2.171551e+01 0.512821 20.130276 40.386649 54.013754 8.084112e+01
GHGEMI 170.0 259582.709895 1.118550e+06 179.725150 12527.487367 41009.275980 116482.578575 1.294287e+07
RELOUT 153.0 39.760036 3.191492e+01 0.000296 10.582691 32.381668 63.011450 1.000000e+02
METEMI 170.0 47876.133575 1.346611e+05 11.596147 3662.884908 11118.976025 32368.909040 1.186285e+06
FORARE 173.0 32.218177 2.312001e+01 0.008078 11.604388 31.509048 49.071780 9.741212e+01
CO2EMI 170.0 3.751097 4.606479e+00 0.032585 0.631924 2.298368 4.823496 3.172684e+01
PM2EXP 167.0 91.940595 2.206003e+01 0.274092 99.627134 100.000000 100.000000 1.000000e+02
POPDEN 174.0 200.886765 6.453834e+02 2.115134 27.454539 77.983133 153.993650 7.918951e+03
ENRTER 116.0 49.994997 2.970619e+01 2.432581 22.107195 53.392460 71.057467 1.433107e+02
GDPCAP 170.0 13992.095610 1.957954e+04 216.827417 1870.503029 5348.192875 17421.116227 1.173705e+05
EPISCO 165.0 42.946667 1.249086e+01 18.900000 33.000000 40.900000 50.500000 7.790000e+01
In [9]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the object variable
##################################
print('Object Variable Summary:')
display(cancer_rate.describe(include='object').transpose())
Object Variable Summary:
count unique top freq
COUNTRY 177 177 Australia 1
In [10]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the categorical variable
##################################
print('Categorical Variable Summary:')
display(cancer_rate.describe(include='category').transpose())
Categorical Variable Summary:
count unique top freq
HDICAT 167 4 VH 59

1.3. Data Quality Assessment ¶

Data quality findings based on assessment are as follows:

  1. No duplicated rows observed.
  2. Missing data noted for 20 variables with Null.Count>0 and Fill.Rate<1.0.
    • RNDGDP: Null.Count = 103, Fill.Rate = 0.418
    • PATRES: Null.Count = 69, Fill.Rate = 0.610
    • ENRTER: Null.Count = 61, Fill.Rate = 0.655
    • RELOUT: Null.Count = 24, Fill.Rate = 0.864
    • GDPPER: Null.Count = 12, Fill.Rate = 0.932
    • EPISCO: Null.Count = 12, Fill.Rate = 0.932
    • HDICAT: Null.Count = 10, Fill.Rate = 0.943
    • PM2EXP: Null.Count = 10, Fill.Rate = 0.943
    • DTHCMD: Null.Count = 7, Fill.Rate = 0.960
    • METEMI: Null.Count = 7, Fill.Rate = 0.960
    • CO2EMI: Null.Count = 7, Fill.Rate = 0.960
    • GDPCAP: Null.Count = 7, Fill.Rate = 0.960
    • GHGEMI: Null.Count = 7, Fill.Rate = 0.960
    • FORARE: Null.Count = 4, Fill.Rate = 0.977
    • TUBINC: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
    • AGRLND: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
    • POPGRO: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
    • POPDEN: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
    • URBPOP: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
    • LIFEXP: Null.Count = 3, Fill.Rate = 0.983
  3. 120 observations noted with at least 1 missing data. From this number, 14 observations reported high Missing.Rate>0.2.
    • COUNTRY=Guadeloupe: Missing.Rate= 0.909
    • COUNTRY=Martinique: Missing.Rate= 0.909
    • COUNTRY=French Guiana: Missing.Rate= 0.909
    • COUNTRY=New Caledonia: Missing.Rate= 0.500
    • COUNTRY=French Polynesia: Missing.Rate= 0.500
    • COUNTRY=Guam: Missing.Rate= 0.500
    • COUNTRY=Puerto Rico: Missing.Rate= 0.409
    • COUNTRY=North Korea: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=Somalia: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=South Sudan: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=Venezuela: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=Libya: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=Eritrea: Missing.Rate= 0.227
    • COUNTRY=Yemen: Missing.Rate= 0.227
  4. Low variance observed for 1 variable with First.Second.Mode.Ratio>5.
    • PM2EXP: First.Second.Mode.Ratio = 53.000
  5. No low variance observed for any variable with Unique.Count.Ratio>10.
  6. High skewness observed for 5 variables with Skewness>3 or Skewness<(-3).
    • POPDEN: Skewness = +10.267
    • GHGEMI: Skewness = +9.496
    • PATRES: Skewness = +9.284
    • METEMI: Skewness = +5.801
    • PM2EXP: Skewness = -3.141
In [11]:
##################################
# Counting the number of duplicated rows
##################################
cancer_rate.duplicated().sum()
Out[11]:
np.int64(0)
In [12]:
##################################
# Gathering the data types for each column
##################################
data_type_list = list(cancer_rate.dtypes)
In [13]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for each column
##################################
variable_name_list = list(cancer_rate.columns)
In [14]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each column
##################################
row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate)] * len(cancer_rate.columns))
In [15]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of missing data for each column
##################################
null_count_list = list(cancer_rate.isna().sum(axis=0))
In [16]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of non-missing data for each column
##################################
non_null_count_list = list(cancer_rate.count())
In [17]:
##################################
# Gathering the missing data percentage for each column
##################################
fill_rate_list = map(truediv, non_null_count_list, row_count_list)
In [18]:
##################################
# Formulating the summary
# for all columns
##################################
all_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(variable_name_list,
                                              data_type_list,
                                              row_count_list,
                                              non_null_count_list,
                                              null_count_list,
                                              fill_rate_list), 
                                        columns=['Column.Name',
                                                 'Column.Type',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Non.Null.Count',
                                                 'Null.Count',                                                 
                                                 'Fill.Rate'])
display(all_column_quality_summary)
Column.Name Column.Type Row.Count Non.Null.Count Null.Count Fill.Rate
0 COUNTRY object 177 177 0 1.000000
1 CANRAT float64 177 177 0 1.000000
2 GDPPER float64 177 165 12 0.932203
3 URBPOP float64 177 174 3 0.983051
4 PATRES float64 177 108 69 0.610169
5 RNDGDP float64 177 74 103 0.418079
6 POPGRO float64 177 174 3 0.983051
7 LIFEXP float64 177 174 3 0.983051
8 TUBINC float64 177 174 3 0.983051
9 DTHCMD float64 177 170 7 0.960452
10 AGRLND float64 177 174 3 0.983051
11 GHGEMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
12 RELOUT float64 177 153 24 0.864407
13 METEMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
14 FORARE float64 177 173 4 0.977401
15 CO2EMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
16 PM2EXP float64 177 167 10 0.943503
17 POPDEN float64 177 174 3 0.983051
18 ENRTER float64 177 116 61 0.655367
19 GDPCAP float64 177 170 7 0.960452
20 HDICAT category 177 167 10 0.943503
21 EPISCO float64 177 165 12 0.932203
In [19]:
##################################
# Counting the number of columns
# with Fill.Rate < 1.00
##################################
len(all_column_quality_summary[(all_column_quality_summary['Fill.Rate']<1)])
Out[19]:
20
In [20]:
##################################
# Identifying the columns
# with Fill.Rate < 1.00
##################################
display(all_column_quality_summary[(all_column_quality_summary['Fill.Rate']<1)].sort_values(by=['Fill.Rate'], ascending=True))
Column.Name Column.Type Row.Count Non.Null.Count Null.Count Fill.Rate
5 RNDGDP float64 177 74 103 0.418079
4 PATRES float64 177 108 69 0.610169
18 ENRTER float64 177 116 61 0.655367
12 RELOUT float64 177 153 24 0.864407
21 EPISCO float64 177 165 12 0.932203
2 GDPPER float64 177 165 12 0.932203
16 PM2EXP float64 177 167 10 0.943503
20 HDICAT category 177 167 10 0.943503
15 CO2EMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
13 METEMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
11 GHGEMI float64 177 170 7 0.960452
9 DTHCMD float64 177 170 7 0.960452
19 GDPCAP float64 177 170 7 0.960452
14 FORARE float64 177 173 4 0.977401
6 POPGRO float64 177 174 3 0.983051
3 URBPOP float64 177 174 3 0.983051
17 POPDEN float64 177 174 3 0.983051
10 AGRLND float64 177 174 3 0.983051
7 LIFEXP float64 177 174 3 0.983051
8 TUBINC float64 177 174 3 0.983051
In [21]:
##################################
# Identifying the rows
# with Fill.Rate < 0.90
##################################
column_low_fill_rate = all_column_quality_summary[(all_column_quality_summary['Fill.Rate']<0.90)]
In [22]:
##################################
# Gathering the metadata labels for each observation
##################################
row_metadata_list = cancer_rate["COUNTRY"].values.tolist()
In [23]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of columns for each observation
##################################
column_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate.columns)] * len(cancer_rate))
In [24]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of missing data for each row
##################################
null_row_list = list(cancer_rate.isna().sum(axis=1))
In [25]:
##################################
# Gathering the missing data percentage for each column
##################################
missing_rate_list = map(truediv, null_row_list, column_count_list)
In [26]:
##################################
# Identifying the rows
# with missing data
##################################
all_row_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(row_metadata_list,
                                           column_count_list,
                                           null_row_list,
                                           missing_rate_list), 
                                        columns=['Row.Name',
                                                 'Column.Count',
                                                 'Null.Count',                                                 
                                                 'Missing.Rate'])
display(all_row_quality_summary)
Row.Name Column.Count Null.Count Missing.Rate
0 Australia 22 1 0.045455
1 New Zealand 22 2 0.090909
2 Ireland 22 0 0.000000
3 United States 22 0 0.000000
4 Denmark 22 0 0.000000
... ... ... ... ...
172 Congo Republic 22 3 0.136364
173 Bhutan 22 2 0.090909
174 Nepal 22 2 0.090909
175 Gambia 22 4 0.181818
176 Niger 22 2 0.090909

177 rows × 4 columns

In [27]:
##################################
# Counting the number of rows
# with Missing.Rate > 0.00
##################################
len(all_row_quality_summary[(all_row_quality_summary['Missing.Rate']>0.00)])
Out[27]:
120
In [28]:
##################################
# Counting the number of rows
# with Missing.Rate > 0.20
##################################
len(all_row_quality_summary[(all_row_quality_summary['Missing.Rate']>0.20)])
Out[28]:
14
In [29]:
##################################
# Identifying the rows
# with Missing.Rate > 0.20
##################################
row_high_missing_rate = all_row_quality_summary[(all_row_quality_summary['Missing.Rate']>0.20)]
In [30]:
##################################
# Identifying the rows
# with Missing.Rate > 0.20
##################################
display(all_row_quality_summary[(all_row_quality_summary['Missing.Rate']>0.20)].sort_values(by=['Missing.Rate'], ascending=False))
Row.Name Column.Count Null.Count Missing.Rate
35 Guadeloupe 22 20 0.909091
39 Martinique 22 20 0.909091
56 French Guiana 22 20 0.909091
13 New Caledonia 22 11 0.500000
44 French Polynesia 22 11 0.500000
75 Guam 22 11 0.500000
53 Puerto Rico 22 9 0.409091
85 North Korea 22 6 0.272727
168 South Sudan 22 6 0.272727
132 Somalia 22 6 0.272727
117 Libya 22 5 0.227273
73 Venezuela 22 5 0.227273
161 Eritrea 22 5 0.227273
164 Yemen 22 5 0.227273
In [31]:
##################################
# Formulating the dataset
# with numeric columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_numeric = cancer_rate.select_dtypes(include='number')
In [32]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_variable_name_list = cancer_rate_numeric.columns
In [33]:
##################################
# Gathering the minimum value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_minimum_list = cancer_rate_numeric.min()
In [34]:
##################################
# Gathering the mean value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_mean_list = cancer_rate_numeric.mean()
In [35]:
##################################
# Gathering the median value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_median_list = cancer_rate_numeric.median()
In [36]:
##################################
# Gathering the maximum value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_maximum_list = cancer_rate_numeric.max()
In [37]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode values for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_first_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[0] for x in cancer_rate_numeric]
In [38]:
##################################
# Gathering the second mode values for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_second_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[1] for x in cancer_rate_numeric]
In [39]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of first mode values for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_first_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_numeric[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[0]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_numeric]
In [40]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of second mode values for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_second_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_numeric[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[1]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_numeric]
In [41]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode to second mode ratio for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_first_second_mode_ratio_list = map(truediv, numeric_first_mode_count_list, numeric_second_mode_count_list)
In [42]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of unique values for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_unique_count_list = cancer_rate_numeric.nunique(dropna=True)
In [43]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate_numeric)] * len(cancer_rate_numeric.columns))
In [44]:
##################################
# Gathering the unique to count ratio for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_unique_count_ratio_list = map(truediv, numeric_unique_count_list, numeric_row_count_list)
In [45]:
##################################
# Gathering the skewness value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_skewness_list = cancer_rate_numeric.skew()
In [46]:
##################################
# Gathering the kurtosis value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_kurtosis_list = cancer_rate_numeric.kurtosis()
In [47]:
numeric_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(numeric_variable_name_list,
                                                numeric_minimum_list,
                                                numeric_mean_list,
                                                numeric_median_list,
                                                numeric_maximum_list,
                                                numeric_first_mode_list,
                                                numeric_second_mode_list,
                                                numeric_first_mode_count_list,
                                                numeric_second_mode_count_list,
                                                numeric_first_second_mode_ratio_list,
                                                numeric_unique_count_list,
                                                numeric_row_count_list,
                                                numeric_unique_count_ratio_list,
                                                numeric_skewness_list,
                                                numeric_kurtosis_list), 
                                        columns=['Numeric.Column.Name',
                                                 'Minimum',
                                                 'Mean',
                                                 'Median',
                                                 'Maximum',
                                                 'First.Mode',
                                                 'Second.Mode',
                                                 'First.Mode.Count',
                                                 'Second.Mode.Count',
                                                 'First.Second.Mode.Ratio',
                                                 'Unique.Count',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Unique.Count.Ratio',
                                                 'Skewness',
                                                 'Kurtosis'])
display(numeric_column_quality_summary)
Numeric.Column.Name Minimum Mean Median Maximum First.Mode Second.Mode First.Mode.Count Second.Mode.Count First.Second.Mode.Ratio Unique.Count Row.Count Unique.Count.Ratio Skewness Kurtosis
0 CANRAT 78.400000 183.829379 155.300000 4.524000e+02 135.300000 130.600000 3 2 1.500000 167 177 0.943503 0.881825 0.063467
1 GDPPER 1718.804896 45284.424283 34024.900890 2.346469e+05 98380.636010 77541.764380 1 1 1.000000 165 177 0.932203 1.517574 3.471992
2 URBPOP 13.345000 59.788121 61.701500 1.000000e+02 100.000000 86.699000 2 1 2.000000 173 177 0.977401 -0.210702 -0.962847
3 PATRES 1.000000 20607.388889 244.500000 1.344817e+06 6.000000 2.000000 4 3 1.333333 97 177 0.548023 9.284436 91.187178
4 RNDGDP 0.039770 1.197474 0.873660 5.354510e+00 1.232440 3.422870 1 1 1.000000 74 177 0.418079 1.396742 1.695957
5 POPGRO -2.079337 1.127028 1.179959 3.727101e+00 1.235701 2.204789 1 1 1.000000 174 177 0.983051 -0.195161 -0.423580
6 LIFEXP 52.777000 71.746113 72.464610 8.456000e+01 83.200000 82.256098 1 1 1.000000 174 177 0.983051 -0.357965 -0.649601
7 TUBINC 0.770000 105.005862 44.500000 5.920000e+02 12.000000 4.100000 4 3 1.333333 131 177 0.740113 1.746333 2.429368
8 DTHCMD 1.283611 21.260521 12.456279 6.520789e+01 4.941054 4.354730 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 0.900509 -0.691541
9 AGRLND 0.512821 38.793456 40.386649 8.084112e+01 46.252480 38.562911 1 1 1.000000 174 177 0.983051 0.074000 -0.926249
10 GHGEMI 179.725150 259582.709895 41009.275980 1.294287e+07 571903.119900 80158.025830 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 9.496120 101.637308
11 RELOUT 0.000296 39.760036 32.381668 1.000000e+02 100.000000 80.081439 3 1 3.000000 151 177 0.853107 0.501088 -0.981774
12 METEMI 11.596147 47876.133575 11118.976025 1.186285e+06 131484.763200 32241.937000 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 5.801014 38.661386
13 FORARE 0.008078 32.218177 31.509048 9.741212e+01 17.421315 37.570126 1 1 1.000000 173 177 0.977401 0.519277 -0.322589
14 CO2EMI 0.032585 3.751097 2.298368 3.172684e+01 14.772658 6.160799 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 2.721552 10.311574
15 PM2EXP 0.274092 91.940595 100.000000 1.000000e+02 100.000000 100.000000 106 2 53.000000 61 177 0.344633 -3.141557 9.032386
16 POPDEN 2.115134 200.886765 77.983133 7.918951e+03 3.335312 19.331586 1 1 1.000000 174 177 0.983051 10.267750 119.995256
17 ENRTER 2.432581 49.994997 53.392460 1.433107e+02 110.139221 75.734833 1 1 1.000000 116 177 0.655367 0.275863 -0.392895
18 GDPCAP 216.827417 13992.095610 5348.192875 1.173705e+05 51722.069000 41760.594780 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 2.258568 5.938690
19 EPISCO 18.900000 42.946667 40.900000 7.790000e+01 29.600000 43.600000 3 3 1.000000 137 177 0.774011 0.641799 0.035208
In [48]:
##################################
# Counting the number of numeric columns
# with First.Second.Mode.Ratio > 5.00
##################################
len(numeric_column_quality_summary[(numeric_column_quality_summary['First.Second.Mode.Ratio']>5)])
Out[48]:
1
In [49]:
##################################
# Identifying the numeric columns
# with First.Second.Mode.Ratio > 5.00
##################################
display(numeric_column_quality_summary[(numeric_column_quality_summary['First.Second.Mode.Ratio']>5)].sort_values(by=['First.Second.Mode.Ratio'], ascending=False))
Numeric.Column.Name Minimum Mean Median Maximum First.Mode Second.Mode First.Mode.Count Second.Mode.Count First.Second.Mode.Ratio Unique.Count Row.Count Unique.Count.Ratio Skewness Kurtosis
15 PM2EXP 0.274092 91.940595 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106 2 53.0 61 177 0.344633 -3.141557 9.032386
In [50]:
##################################
# Counting the number of numeric columns
# with Unique.Count.Ratio > 10.00
##################################
len(numeric_column_quality_summary[(numeric_column_quality_summary['Unique.Count.Ratio']>10)])
Out[50]:
0
In [51]:
##################################
# Counting the number of numeric columns
# with Skewness > 3.00 or Skewness < -3.00
##################################
len(numeric_column_quality_summary[(numeric_column_quality_summary['Skewness']>3) | (numeric_column_quality_summary['Skewness']<(-3))])
Out[51]:
5
In [52]:
##################################
# Identifying the numeric columns
# with Skewness > 3.00 or Skewness < -3.00
##################################
display(numeric_column_quality_summary[(numeric_column_quality_summary['Skewness']>3) | (numeric_column_quality_summary['Skewness']<(-3))].sort_values(by=['Skewness'], ascending=False))
Numeric.Column.Name Minimum Mean Median Maximum First.Mode Second.Mode First.Mode.Count Second.Mode.Count First.Second.Mode.Ratio Unique.Count Row.Count Unique.Count.Ratio Skewness Kurtosis
16 POPDEN 2.115134 200.886765 77.983133 7.918951e+03 3.335312 19.331586 1 1 1.000000 174 177 0.983051 10.267750 119.995256
10 GHGEMI 179.725150 259582.709895 41009.275980 1.294287e+07 571903.119900 80158.025830 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 9.496120 101.637308
3 PATRES 1.000000 20607.388889 244.500000 1.344817e+06 6.000000 2.000000 4 3 1.333333 97 177 0.548023 9.284436 91.187178
12 METEMI 11.596147 47876.133575 11118.976025 1.186285e+06 131484.763200 32241.937000 1 1 1.000000 170 177 0.960452 5.801014 38.661386
15 PM2EXP 0.274092 91.940595 100.000000 1.000000e+02 100.000000 100.000000 106 2 53.000000 61 177 0.344633 -3.141557 9.032386
In [53]:
##################################
# Formulating the dataset
# with object column only
##################################
cancer_rate_object = cancer_rate.select_dtypes(include='object')
In [54]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for the object column
##################################
object_variable_name_list = cancer_rate_object.columns
In [55]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode values for the object column
##################################
object_first_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts().index.tolist()[0] for x in cancer_rate_object]
In [56]:
##################################
# Gathering the second mode values for each object column
##################################
object_second_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts().index.tolist()[1] for x in cancer_rate_object]
In [57]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of first mode values for each object column
##################################
object_first_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_object[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[0]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_object]
In [58]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of second mode values for each object column
##################################
object_second_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_object[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[1]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_object]
In [59]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode to second mode ratio for each object column
##################################
object_first_second_mode_ratio_list = map(truediv, object_first_mode_count_list, object_second_mode_count_list)
In [60]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of unique values for each object column
##################################
object_unique_count_list = cancer_rate_object.nunique(dropna=True)
In [61]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each object column
##################################
object_row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate_object)] * len(cancer_rate_object.columns))
In [62]:
##################################
# Gathering the unique to count ratio for each object column
##################################
object_unique_count_ratio_list = map(truediv, object_unique_count_list, object_row_count_list)
In [63]:
object_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(object_variable_name_list,
                                                 object_first_mode_list,
                                                 object_second_mode_list,
                                                 object_first_mode_count_list,
                                                 object_second_mode_count_list,
                                                 object_first_second_mode_ratio_list,
                                                 object_unique_count_list,
                                                 object_row_count_list,
                                                 object_unique_count_ratio_list), 
                                        columns=['Object.Column.Name',
                                                 'First.Mode',
                                                 'Second.Mode',
                                                 'First.Mode.Count',
                                                 'Second.Mode.Count',
                                                 'First.Second.Mode.Ratio',
                                                 'Unique.Count',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Unique.Count.Ratio'])
display(object_column_quality_summary)
Object.Column.Name First.Mode Second.Mode First.Mode.Count Second.Mode.Count First.Second.Mode.Ratio Unique.Count Row.Count Unique.Count.Ratio
0 COUNTRY Australia New Zealand 1 1 1.0 177 177 1.0
In [64]:
##################################
# Counting the number of object columns
# with First.Second.Mode.Ratio > 5.00
##################################
len(object_column_quality_summary[(object_column_quality_summary['First.Second.Mode.Ratio']>5)])
Out[64]:
0
In [65]:
##################################
# Counting the number of object columns
# with Unique.Count.Ratio > 10.00
##################################
len(object_column_quality_summary[(object_column_quality_summary['Unique.Count.Ratio']>10)])
Out[65]:
0
In [66]:
##################################
# Formulating the dataset
# with categorical columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_categorical = cancer_rate.select_dtypes(include='category')
In [67]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for the categorical column
##################################
categorical_variable_name_list = cancer_rate_categorical.columns
In [68]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode values for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_first_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts().index.tolist()[0] for x in cancer_rate_categorical]
In [69]:
##################################
# Gathering the second mode values for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_second_mode_list = [cancer_rate[x].value_counts().index.tolist()[1] for x in cancer_rate_categorical]
In [70]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of first mode values for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_first_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_categorical[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[0]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_categorical]
In [71]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of second mode values for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_second_mode_count_list = [cancer_rate_categorical[x].isin([cancer_rate[x].value_counts(dropna=True).index.tolist()[1]]).sum() for x in cancer_rate_categorical]
In [72]:
##################################
# Gathering the first mode to second mode ratio for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_first_second_mode_ratio_list = map(truediv, categorical_first_mode_count_list, categorical_second_mode_count_list)
In [73]:
##################################
# Gathering the count of unique values for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_unique_count_list = cancer_rate_categorical.nunique(dropna=True)
In [74]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate_categorical)] * len(cancer_rate_categorical.columns))
In [75]:
##################################
# Gathering the unique to count ratio for each categorical column
##################################
categorical_unique_count_ratio_list = map(truediv, categorical_unique_count_list, categorical_row_count_list)
In [76]:
categorical_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(categorical_variable_name_list,
                                                    categorical_first_mode_list,
                                                    categorical_second_mode_list,
                                                    categorical_first_mode_count_list,
                                                    categorical_second_mode_count_list,
                                                    categorical_first_second_mode_ratio_list,
                                                    categorical_unique_count_list,
                                                    categorical_row_count_list,
                                                    categorical_unique_count_ratio_list), 
                                        columns=['Categorical.Column.Name',
                                                 'First.Mode',
                                                 'Second.Mode',
                                                 'First.Mode.Count',
                                                 'Second.Mode.Count',
                                                 'First.Second.Mode.Ratio',
                                                 'Unique.Count',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Unique.Count.Ratio'])
display(categorical_column_quality_summary)
Categorical.Column.Name First.Mode Second.Mode First.Mode.Count Second.Mode.Count First.Second.Mode.Ratio Unique.Count Row.Count Unique.Count.Ratio
0 HDICAT VH H 59 39 1.512821 4 177 0.022599
In [77]:
##################################
# Counting the number of categorical columns
# with First.Second.Mode.Ratio > 5.00
##################################
len(categorical_column_quality_summary[(categorical_column_quality_summary['First.Second.Mode.Ratio']>5)])
Out[77]:
0
In [78]:
##################################
# Counting the number of categorical columns
# with Unique.Count.Ratio > 10.00
##################################
len(categorical_column_quality_summary[(categorical_column_quality_summary['Unique.Count.Ratio']>10)])
Out[78]:
0

1.4. Data Preprocessing ¶

1.4.1 Data Cleaning ¶

  1. Subsets of rows and columns with high rates of missing data were removed from the dataset:
    • 4 variables with Fill.Rate<0.9 were excluded for subsequent analysis.
      • RNDGDP: Null.Count = 103, Fill.Rate = 0.418
      • PATRES: Null.Count = 69, Fill.Rate = 0.610
      • ENRTER: Null.Count = 61, Fill.Rate = 0.655
      • RELOUT: Null.Count = 24, Fill.Rate = 0.864
    • 14 rows with Missing.Rate>0.2 were exluded for subsequent analysis.
      • COUNTRY=Guadeloupe: Missing.Rate= 0.909
      • COUNTRY=Martinique: Missing.Rate= 0.909
      • COUNTRY=French Guiana: Missing.Rate= 0.909
      • COUNTRY=New Caledonia: Missing.Rate= 0.500
      • COUNTRY=French Polynesia: Missing.Rate= 0.500
      • COUNTRY=Guam: Missing.Rate= 0.500
      • COUNTRY=Puerto Rico: Missing.Rate= 0.409
      • COUNTRY=North Korea: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=Somalia: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=South Sudan: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=Venezuela: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=Libya: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=Eritrea: Missing.Rate= 0.227
      • COUNTRY=Yemen: Missing.Rate= 0.227
  2. No variables were removed due to zero or near-zero variance.
  3. The cleaned dataset is comprised of:
    • 163 rows (observations)
    • 18 columns (variables)
      • 1/18 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/18 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 15/18 predictor (numeric)
        • GDPPER
        • URBPOP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • METEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • PM2EXP
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • EPISCO
      • 1/18 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT
In [79]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the original dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(177, 22)
In [80]:
##################################
# Filtering out the rows with
# with Missing.Rate > 0.20
##################################
cancer_rate_filtered_row = cancer_rate.drop(cancer_rate[cancer_rate.COUNTRY.isin(row_high_missing_rate['Row.Name'].values.tolist())].index)
In [81]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the filtered dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_filtered_row.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 22)
In [82]:
##################################
# Filtering out the columns with
# with Fill.Rate < 0.90
##################################
cancer_rate_filtered_row_column = cancer_rate_filtered_row.drop(column_low_fill_rate['Column.Name'].values.tolist(), axis=1)
In [83]:
##################################
# Formulating a new dataset object
# for the cleaned data
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned = cancer_rate_filtered_row_column
In [84]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the filtered dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_cleaned.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 18)

1.4.2 Missing Data Imputation ¶

Iterative Imputer is based on the Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) algorithm - an imputation method based on fully conditional specification, where each incomplete variable is imputed by a separate model. As a sequential regression imputation technique, the algorithm imputes an incomplete column (target column) by generating plausible synthetic values given other columns in the data. Each incomplete column must act as a target column, and has its own specific set of predictors. For predictors that are incomplete themselves, the most recently generated imputations are used to complete the predictors prior to prior to imputation of the target columns.

Linear Regression explores the linear relationship between a scalar response and one or more covariates by having the conditional mean of the dependent variable be an affine function of the independent variables. The relationship is modeled through a disturbance term which represents an unobserved random variable that adds noise. The algorithm is typically formulated from the data using the least squares method which seeks to estimate the coefficients by minimizing the squared residual function. The linear equation assigns one scale factor represented by a coefficient to each covariate and an additional coefficient called the intercept or the bias coefficient which gives the line an additional degree of freedom allowing to move up and down a two-dimensional plot.

  1. Missing data for numeric variables were imputed using the iterative imputer algorithm with a linear regression estimator.
    • GDPPER: Null.Count = 1
    • FORARE: Null.Count = 1
    • PM2EXP: Null.Count = 5
  2. Missing data for categorical variables were imputed using the most frequent value.
    • HDICAP: Null.Count = 1
In [85]:
##################################
# Formulating the summary
# for all cleaned columns
##################################
cleaned_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(list(cancer_rate_cleaned.columns),
                                                  list(cancer_rate_cleaned.dtypes),
                                                  list([len(cancer_rate_cleaned)] * len(cancer_rate_cleaned.columns)),
                                                  list(cancer_rate_cleaned.count()),
                                                  list(cancer_rate_cleaned.isna().sum(axis=0))), 
                                        columns=['Column.Name',
                                                 'Column.Type',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Non.Null.Count',
                                                 'Null.Count'])
display(cleaned_column_quality_summary)
Column.Name Column.Type Row.Count Non.Null.Count Null.Count
0 COUNTRY object 163 163 0
1 CANRAT float64 163 163 0
2 GDPPER float64 163 162 1
3 URBPOP float64 163 163 0
4 POPGRO float64 163 163 0
5 LIFEXP float64 163 163 0
6 TUBINC float64 163 163 0
7 DTHCMD float64 163 163 0
8 AGRLND float64 163 163 0
9 GHGEMI float64 163 163 0
10 METEMI float64 163 163 0
11 FORARE float64 163 162 1
12 CO2EMI float64 163 163 0
13 PM2EXP float64 163 158 5
14 POPDEN float64 163 163 0
15 GDPCAP float64 163 163 0
16 HDICAT category 163 162 1
17 EPISCO float64 163 163 0
In [86]:
##################################
# Formulating the cleaned dataset
# with categorical columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical = cancer_rate_cleaned.select_dtypes(include='object')
In [87]:
##################################
# Formulating the cleaned dataset
# with numeric columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned_numeric = cancer_rate_cleaned.select_dtypes(include='number')
In [88]:
##################################
# Taking a snapshot of the cleaned dataset
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned_numeric.head()
Out[88]:
CANRAT GDPPER URBPOP POPGRO LIFEXP TUBINC DTHCMD AGRLND GHGEMI METEMI FORARE CO2EMI PM2EXP POPDEN GDPCAP EPISCO
0 452.4 98380.63601 86.241 1.235701 83.200000 7.2 4.941054 46.252480 5.719031e+05 131484.763200 17.421315 14.772658 24.893584 3.335312 51722.06900 60.1
1 422.9 77541.76438 86.699 2.204789 82.256098 7.2 4.354730 38.562911 8.015803e+04 32241.937000 37.570126 6.160799 NaN 19.331586 41760.59478 56.7
2 372.8 198405.87500 63.653 1.029111 82.556098 5.3 5.684596 65.495718 5.949773e+04 15252.824630 11.351720 6.768228 0.274092 72.367281 85420.19086 57.4
3 362.2 130941.63690 82.664 0.964348 76.980488 2.3 5.302060 44.363367 5.505181e+06 748241.402900 33.866926 13.032828 3.343170 36.240985 63528.63430 51.1
4 351.1 113300.60110 88.116 0.291641 81.602439 4.1 6.826140 65.499675 4.113555e+04 7778.773921 15.711000 4.691237 56.914456 145.785100 60915.42440 77.9
In [89]:
##################################
# Defining the estimator to be used
# at each step of the round-robin imputation
##################################
lr = LinearRegression()
In [90]:
##################################
# Defining the parameter of the
# iterative imputer which will estimate 
# the columns with missing values
# as a function of the other columns
# in a round-robin fashion
##################################
iterative_imputer = IterativeImputer(
    estimator = lr,
    max_iter = 10,
    tol = 1e-10,
    imputation_order = 'ascending',
    random_state=88888888
)
In [91]:
##################################
# Implementing the iterative imputer 
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_array = iterative_imputer.fit_transform(cancer_rate_cleaned_numeric)
In [92]:
##################################
# Transforming the imputed data
# from an array to a dataframe
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric = pd.DataFrame(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_array, 
                                           columns = cancer_rate_cleaned_numeric.columns)
In [93]:
##################################
# Taking a snapshot of the imputed dataset
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.head()
Out[93]:
CANRAT GDPPER URBPOP POPGRO LIFEXP TUBINC DTHCMD AGRLND GHGEMI METEMI FORARE CO2EMI PM2EXP POPDEN GDPCAP EPISCO
0 452.4 98380.63601 86.241 1.235701 83.200000 7.2 4.941054 46.252480 5.719031e+05 131484.763200 17.421315 14.772658 24.893584 3.335312 51722.06900 60.1
1 422.9 77541.76438 86.699 2.204789 82.256098 7.2 4.354730 38.562911 8.015803e+04 32241.937000 37.570126 6.160799 59.475540 19.331586 41760.59478 56.7
2 372.8 198405.87500 63.653 1.029111 82.556098 5.3 5.684596 65.495718 5.949773e+04 15252.824630 11.351720 6.768228 0.274092 72.367281 85420.19086 57.4
3 362.2 130941.63690 82.664 0.964348 76.980488 2.3 5.302060 44.363367 5.505181e+06 748241.402900 33.866926 13.032828 3.343170 36.240985 63528.63430 51.1
4 351.1 113300.60110 88.116 0.291641 81.602439 4.1 6.826140 65.499675 4.113555e+04 7778.773921 15.711000 4.691237 56.914456 145.785100 60915.42440 77.9
In [94]:
##################################
# Formulating the cleaned dataset
# with categorical columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical = cancer_rate_cleaned.select_dtypes(include='category')
In [95]:
##################################
# Imputing the missing data
# for categorical columns with
# the most frequent category
##################################
cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical['HDICAT'] = cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical['HDICAT'].fillna(cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical['HDICAT'].mode()[0])
cancer_rate_imputed_categorical = cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical.reset_index(drop=True)
In [96]:
##################################
# Formulating the imputed dataset
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed = pd.concat([cancer_rate_imputed_numeric,cancer_rate_imputed_categorical], axis=1, join='inner')  
In [97]:
##################################
# Gathering the data types for each column
##################################
data_type_list = list(cancer_rate_imputed.dtypes)
In [98]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for each column
##################################
variable_name_list = list(cancer_rate_imputed.columns)
In [99]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each column
##################################
row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate_imputed)] * len(cancer_rate_imputed.columns))
In [100]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of missing data for each column
##################################
null_count_list = list(cancer_rate_imputed.isna().sum(axis=0))
In [101]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of non-missing data for each column
##################################
non_null_count_list = list(cancer_rate_imputed.count())
In [102]:
##################################
# Gathering the missing data percentage for each column
##################################
fill_rate_list = map(truediv, non_null_count_list, row_count_list)
In [103]:
##################################
# Formulating the summary
# for all imputed columns
##################################
imputed_column_quality_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(variable_name_list,
                                                  data_type_list,
                                                  row_count_list,
                                                  non_null_count_list,
                                                  null_count_list,
                                                  fill_rate_list), 
                                        columns=['Column.Name',
                                                 'Column.Type',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Non.Null.Count',
                                                 'Null.Count',                                                 
                                                 'Fill.Rate'])
display(imputed_column_quality_summary)
Column.Name Column.Type Row.Count Non.Null.Count Null.Count Fill.Rate
0 CANRAT float64 163 163 0 1.0
1 GDPPER float64 163 163 0 1.0
2 URBPOP float64 163 163 0 1.0
3 POPGRO float64 163 163 0 1.0
4 LIFEXP float64 163 163 0 1.0
5 TUBINC float64 163 163 0 1.0
6 DTHCMD float64 163 163 0 1.0
7 AGRLND float64 163 163 0 1.0
8 GHGEMI float64 163 163 0 1.0
9 METEMI float64 163 163 0 1.0
10 FORARE float64 163 163 0 1.0
11 CO2EMI float64 163 163 0 1.0
12 PM2EXP float64 163 163 0 1.0
13 POPDEN float64 163 163 0 1.0
14 GDPCAP float64 163 163 0 1.0
15 EPISCO float64 163 163 0 1.0
16 HDICAT category 163 163 0 1.0

1.4.3 Outlier Detection ¶

  1. High number of outliers observed for 5 numeric variables with Outlier.Ratio>0.10 and marginal to high Skewness.
    • PM2EXP: Outlier.Count = 37, Outlier.Ratio = 0.226, Skewness=-3.061
    • GHGEMI: Outlier.Count = 27, Outlier.Ratio = 0.165, Skewness=+9.299
    • GDPCAP: Outlier.Count = 22, Outlier.Ratio = 0.134, Skewness=+2.311
    • POPDEN: Outlier.Count = 20, Outlier.Ratio = 0.122, Skewness=+9.972
    • METEMI: Outlier.Count = 20, Outlier.Ratio = 0.122, Skewness=+5.688
  2. Minimal number of outliers observed for 5 numeric variables with Outlier.Ratio<0.10 and normal Skewness.
    • TUBINC: Outlier.Count = 12, Outlier.Ratio = 0.073, Skewness=+1.747
    • CO2EMI: Outlier.Count = 11, Outlier.Ratio = 0.067, Skewness=+2.693
    • GDPPER: Outlier.Count = 3, Outlier.Ratio = 0.018, Skewness=+1.554
    • EPISCO: Outlier.Count = 3, Outlier.Ratio = 0.018, Skewness=+0.635
    • CANRAT: Outlier.Count = 2, Outlier.Ratio = 0.012, Skewness=+0.910
In [104]:
##################################
# Formulating the imputed dataset
# with numeric columns only
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric = cancer_rate_imputed.select_dtypes(include='number')
In [105]:
##################################
# Gathering the variable names for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_variable_name_list = list(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.columns)
In [106]:
##################################
# Gathering the skewness value for each numeric column
##################################
numeric_skewness_list = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.skew()
In [107]:
##################################
# Computing the interquartile range
# for all columns
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q1 = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.quantile(0.25)
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q3 = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.quantile(0.75)
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_iqr = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q3 - cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q1
In [108]:
##################################
# Gathering the outlier count for each numeric column
# based on the interquartile range criterion
##################################
numeric_outlier_count_list = ((cancer_rate_imputed_numeric < (cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q1 - 1.5 * cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_iqr)) | (cancer_rate_imputed_numeric > (cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_q3 + 1.5 * cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_iqr))).sum()
In [109]:
##################################
# Gathering the number of observations for each column
##################################
numeric_row_count_list = list([len(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric)] * len(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.columns))
In [110]:
##################################
# Gathering the unique to count ratio for each categorical column
##################################
numeric_outlier_ratio_list = map(truediv, numeric_outlier_count_list, numeric_row_count_list)
In [111]:
##################################
# Formulating the outlier summary
# for all numeric columns
##################################
numeric_column_outlier_summary = pd.DataFrame(zip(numeric_variable_name_list,
                                                  numeric_skewness_list,
                                                  numeric_outlier_count_list,
                                                  numeric_row_count_list,
                                                  numeric_outlier_ratio_list), 
                                        columns=['Numeric.Column.Name',
                                                 'Skewness',
                                                 'Outlier.Count',
                                                 'Row.Count',
                                                 'Outlier.Ratio'])
display(numeric_column_outlier_summary)
Numeric.Column.Name Skewness Outlier.Count Row.Count Outlier.Ratio
0 CANRAT 0.910128 2 163 0.012270
1 GDPPER 1.554434 3 163 0.018405
2 URBPOP -0.212327 0 163 0.000000
3 POPGRO -0.181666 0 163 0.000000
4 LIFEXP -0.329704 0 163 0.000000
5 TUBINC 1.747962 12 163 0.073620
6 DTHCMD 0.930709 0 163 0.000000
7 AGRLND 0.035315 0 163 0.000000
8 GHGEMI 9.299960 27 163 0.165644
9 METEMI 5.688689 20 163 0.122699
10 FORARE 0.556183 0 163 0.000000
11 CO2EMI 2.693585 11 163 0.067485
12 PM2EXP -3.061617 37 163 0.226994
13 POPDEN 9.972806 20 163 0.122699
14 GDPCAP 2.311079 22 163 0.134969
15 EPISCO 0.635994 3 163 0.018405
In [112]:
##################################
# Formulating the individual boxplots
# for all numeric columns
##################################
for column in cancer_rate_imputed_numeric:
        plt.figure(figsize=(17,1))
        sns.boxplot(data=cancer_rate_imputed_numeric, x=column)
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1.4.4 Collinearity ¶

Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient is a parametric measure of the linear correlation for a pair of features by calculating the ratio between their covariance and the product of their standard deviations. The presence of high absolute correlation values indicate the univariate association between the numeric predictors and the numeric response.

  1. Majority of the numeric variables reported moderate to high correlation which were statistically significant.
  2. Among pairwise combinations of numeric variables, high Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient values were noted for:
    • GDPPER and GDPCAP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient = +0.921
    • GHGEMI and METEMI: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient = +0.905
  3. Among the highly correlated pairs, variables with the lowest correlation against the target variable were removed.
    • GDPPER: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient = +0.690
    • METEMI: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient = +0.062
  4. The cleaned dataset is comprised of:
    • 163 rows (observations)
    • 16 columns (variables)
      • 1/16 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/16 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 13/16 predictor (numeric)
        • URBPOP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • PM2EXP
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • EPISCO
      • 1/16 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT
In [113]:
##################################
# Formulating a function 
# to plot the correlation matrix
# for all pairwise combinations
# of numeric columns
##################################
def plot_correlation_matrix(corr, mask=None):
    f, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(11, 9))
    sns.heatmap(corr, 
                ax=ax,
                mask=mask,
                annot=True, 
                vmin=-1, 
                vmax=1, 
                center=0,
                cmap='coolwarm', 
                linewidths=1, 
                linecolor='gray', 
                cbar_kws={'orientation': 'horizontal'})  
In [114]:
##################################
# Computing the correlation coefficients
# and correlation p-values
# among pairs of numeric columns
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation_pairs = {}
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_columns = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.columns.tolist()
for numeric_column_a, numeric_column_b in itertools.combinations(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_columns, 2):
    cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation_pairs[numeric_column_a + '_' + numeric_column_b] = stats.pearsonr(
        cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.loc[:, numeric_column_a], 
        cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.loc[:, numeric_column_b])
In [115]:
##################################
# Formulating the pairwise correlation summary
# for all numeric columns
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_summary = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.from_dict(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation_pairs, orient='index')
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_summary.columns = ['Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient', 'Correlation.PValue']
display(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_summary.sort_values(by=['Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient'], ascending=False).head(20))
Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient Correlation.PValue
GDPPER_GDPCAP 0.921009 8.173822e-68
GHGEMI_METEMI 0.905121 1.087643e-61
POPGRO_DTHCMD 0.759470 7.124695e-32
GDPPER_LIFEXP 0.755792 2.052275e-31
CANRAT_EPISCO 0.712599 1.445594e-26
CANRAT_GDPCAP 0.696991 4.991271e-25
GDPCAP_EPISCO 0.696707 5.312642e-25
CANRAT_LIFEXP 0.692318 1.379448e-24
CANRAT_GDPPER 0.686787 4.483016e-24
LIFEXP_GDPCAP 0.683834 8.321371e-24
GDPPER_EPISCO 0.680814 1.554608e-23
GDPPER_URBPOP 0.666399 2.778872e-22
GDPPER_CO2EMI 0.654956 2.451320e-21
TUBINC_DTHCMD 0.643615 1.936081e-20
URBPOP_LIFEXP 0.623997 5.669778e-19
LIFEXP_EPISCO 0.620271 1.048393e-18
URBPOP_GDPCAP 0.559181 8.624533e-15
CO2EMI_GDPCAP 0.550221 2.782997e-14
URBPOP_CO2EMI 0.550046 2.846393e-14
LIFEXP_CO2EMI 0.531305 2.951829e-13
In [116]:
##################################
# Plotting the correlation matrix
# for all pairwise combinations
# of numeric columns
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation = cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.corr()
mask = np.triu(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation)
plot_correlation_matrix(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation,mask)
plt.show()
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In [117]:
##################################
# Formulating a function 
# to plot the correlation matrix
# for all pairwise combinations
# of numeric columns
# with significant p-values only
##################################
def correlation_significance(df=None):
    p_matrix = np.zeros(shape=(df.shape[1],df.shape[1]))
    for col in df.columns:
        for col2 in df.drop(col,axis=1).columns:
            _ , p = stats.pearsonr(df[col],df[col2])
            p_matrix[df.columns.to_list().index(col),df.columns.to_list().index(col2)] = p
    return p_matrix
In [118]:
##################################
# Plotting the correlation matrix
# for all pairwise combinations
# of numeric columns
# with significant p-values only
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation_p_values = correlation_significance(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric)                     
mask = np.invert(np.tril(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation_p_values<0.05)) 
plot_correlation_matrix(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_correlation,mask)  
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In [119]:
##################################
# Filtering out one among the 
# highly correlated variable pairs with
# lesser Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient
# when compared to the target variable
##################################
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.drop(['GDPPER','METEMI'], inplace=True, axis=1)
In [120]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the filtered dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 14)

1.4.5 Shape Transformation ¶

Yeo-Johnson Transformation applies a new family of distributions that can be used without restrictions, extending many of the good properties of the Box-Cox power family. Similar to the Box-Cox transformation, the method also estimates the optimal value of lambda but has the ability to transform both positive and negative values by inflating low variance data and deflating high variance data to create a more uniform data set. While there are no restrictions in terms of the applicable values, the interpretability of the transformed values is more diminished as compared to the other methods.

  1. A Yeo-Johnson transformation was applied to all numeric variables to improve distributional shape.
  2. Most variables achieved symmetrical distributions with minimal outliers after transformation.
  3. One variable which remained skewed even after applying shape transformation was removed.
    • PM2EXP
  4. The transformed dataset is comprised of:
    • 163 rows (observations)
    • 15 columns (variables)
      • 1/15 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/15 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 12/15 predictor (numeric)
        • URBPOP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • EPISCO
      • 1/15 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT
In [121]:
##################################
# Conducting a Yeo-Johnson Transformation
# to address the distributional
# shape of the variables
##################################
yeo_johnson_transformer = PowerTransformer(method='yeo-johnson',
                                          standardize=False)
cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_array = yeo_johnson_transformer.fit_transform(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric)
In [122]:
##################################
# Formulating a new dataset object
# for the transformed data
##################################
cancer_rate_transformed_numeric = pd.DataFrame(cancer_rate_imputed_numeric_array,
                                               columns=cancer_rate_imputed_numeric.columns)
In [123]:
##################################
# Formulating the individual boxplots
# for all transformed numeric columns
##################################
for column in cancer_rate_transformed_numeric:
        plt.figure(figsize=(17,1))
        sns.boxplot(data=cancer_rate_transformed_numeric, x=column)
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In [124]:
##################################
# Filtering out the column
# which remained skewed even
# after applying shape transformation
##################################
cancer_rate_transformed_numeric.drop(['PM2EXP'], inplace=True, axis=1)
In [125]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the filtered dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_transformed_numeric.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 13)

1.4.6 Centering and Scaling ¶

  1. All numeric variables were transformed using the standardization method to achieve a comparable scale between values.
  2. The scaled dataset is comprised of:
    • 163 rows (observations)
    • 15 columns (variables)
      • 1/15 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/15 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 12/15 predictor (numeric)
        • URBPOP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • EPISCO
      • 1/15 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT
In [126]:
##################################
# Conducting standardization
# to transform the values of the 
# variables into comparable scale
##################################
standardization_scaler = StandardScaler()
cancer_rate_transformed_numeric_array = standardization_scaler.fit_transform(cancer_rate_transformed_numeric)
In [127]:
##################################
# Formulating a new dataset object
# for the scaled data
##################################
cancer_rate_scaled_numeric = pd.DataFrame(cancer_rate_transformed_numeric_array,
                                          columns=cancer_rate_transformed_numeric.columns)
In [128]:
##################################
# Formulating the individual boxplots
# for all transformed numeric columns
##################################
for column in cancer_rate_scaled_numeric:
        plt.figure(figsize=(17,1))
        sns.boxplot(data=cancer_rate_scaled_numeric, x=column)
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1.4.7 Data Encoding ¶

  1. One-hot encoding was applied to the HDICAP_VH variable resulting to 4 additional columns in the dataset:
    • HDICAP_L
    • HDICAP_M
    • HDICAP_H
    • HDICAP_VH
In [129]:
##################################
# Formulating the categorical column
# for encoding transformation
##################################
cancer_rate_categorical_encoded = pd.DataFrame(cancer_rate_cleaned_categorical.loc[:, 'HDICAT'].to_list(),
                                               columns=['HDICAT'])
In [130]:
##################################
# Applying a one-hot encoding transformation
# for the categorical column
##################################
cancer_rate_categorical_encoded = pd.get_dummies(cancer_rate_categorical_encoded, columns=['HDICAT'])

1.4.8 Preprocessed Data Description ¶

  1. The preprocessed dataset is comprised of:
    • 163 rows (observations)
    • 18 columns (variables)
      • 1/18 metadata (object)
        • COUNTRY
      • 1/18 target (numeric)
        • CANRAT
      • 12/18 predictor (numeric)
        • URBPOP
        • POPGRO
        • LIFEXP
        • TUBINC
        • DTHCMD
        • AGRLND
        • GHGEMI
        • FORARE
        • CO2EMI
        • POPDEN
        • GDPCAP
        • EPISCO
      • 4/18 predictor (categorical)
        • HDICAT_L
        • HDICAT_M
        • HDICAT_H
        • HDICAT_VH
In [131]:
##################################
# Consolidating both numeric columns
# and encoded categorical columns
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed = pd.concat([cancer_rate_scaled_numeric,cancer_rate_categorical_encoded], axis=1, join='inner')  
In [132]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the consolidated dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_preprocessed.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 17)

1.5. Data Exploration ¶

1.5.1 Exploratory Data Analysis ¶

  1. Bivariate analysis identified individual predictors with generally linear relationship to the target variable based on visual inspection.
  2. Increasing values for the following predictors correspond to higher CANRAT measurements:
    • URBPOP
    • LIFEXP
    • CO2EMI
    • GDPCAP
    • EPISCO
    • HDICAP_VH
  3. Decreasing values for the following predictors correspond to higher CANRAT measurements:
    • POPGRO
    • TUBINC
    • DTHCMD
    • HDICAP_L
    • HDICAP_M
  4. Values for the following predictors did not affect CANRAT measurements:
    • AGRLND
    • GHGEMI
    • FORARE
    • POPDEN
    • HDICAP_H
In [133]:
##################################
# Segregating the target
# and predictor variable lists
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed_target = ['CANRAT']
cancer_rate_preprocessed_predictors = cancer_rate_preprocessed.drop('CANRAT', axis=1).columns
In [134]:
##################################
# Segregating the target
# and predictor variable names
##################################
y_variable = 'CANRAT'
x_variables = cancer_rate_preprocessed_predictors
In [135]:
##################################
# Defining the number of 
# rows and columns for the subplots
##################################
num_rows = 8
num_cols = 2
In [136]:
##################################
# Formulating the subplot structure
##################################
fig, axes = plt.subplots(num_rows, num_cols, figsize=(15, 40))

##################################
# Flattening the multi-row and
# multi-column axes
##################################
axes = axes.ravel()

##################################
# Formulating the individual scatterplots
# for all scaled numeric columns
##################################
for i, x_variable in enumerate(x_variables):
    ax = axes[i]
    ax.scatter(cancer_rate_preprocessed[x_variable],cancer_rate_preprocessed[y_variable])
    ax.set_title(f'{y_variable} Versus {x_variable}')
    ax.set_xlabel(x_variable)
    ax.set_ylabel(y_variable)

##################################
# Adjusting the subplot layout
##################################
plt.tight_layout()

##################################
# Presenting the subplots
##################################
plt.show()
No description has been provided for this image

1.5.2 Hypothesis Testing ¶

  1. The relationship between the numeric predictors to the CANRAT target variable was statistically evaluated using the following hypotheses:
    • Null: Pearson correlation coefficient is equal to zero
    • Alternative: Pearson correlation coefficient is not equal to zero
  2. There is sufficient evidence to conclude of a statistically significant linear relationship between the CANRAT target variable and 10 of the 12 numeric predictors given their high Pearson correlation coefficient values with reported low p-values less than the significance level of 0.05.
    • GDPCAP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.735, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • LIFEXP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.702, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • DTHCMD: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=-0.687, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • EPISCO: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.648, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • TUBINC: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.628, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • CO2EMI: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.585, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • POPGRO: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=-0.498, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • URBPOP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.479, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • GHGEMI: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.232, Correlation.PValue=0.002
    • FORARE: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.165, Correlation.PValue=0.035
  3. The relationship between the categorical predictors to the CANRAT target variable was statistically evaluated using the following hypotheses:
    • Null: Difference in the means between groups 0 and 1 is equal to zero
    • Alternative: Difference in the means between groups 0 and 1 is not equal to zero
  4. There is sufficient evidence to conclude of a statistically significant difference between the means of CANRAT measurements obtained from groups 0 and 1 in 3 of the 4 categorical predictors given their high t-test statistic values with reported low p-values less than the significance level of 0.05.
    • HDICAT_VH: T.Test.Statistic=-10.605, T.Test.PValue=0.000
    • HDICAT_L: T.Test.Statistic=+6.559, T.Test.PValue=0.000
    • HDICAT_M: T.Test.Statistic=+5.104, T.Test.PValue=0.000
In [137]:
##################################
# Computing the correlation coefficients
# and correlation p-values
# between the target variable
# and numeric predictor columns
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_correlation_target = {}
cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric = cancer_rate_preprocessed.drop(['HDICAT_L','HDICAT_M','HDICAT_H','HDICAT_VH'], axis=1)
cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_columns = cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric.columns.tolist()
for numeric_column in cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_columns:
    cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_correlation_target['CANRAT_' + numeric_column] = stats.pearsonr(
        cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric.loc[:, 'CANRAT'], 
        cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric.loc[:, numeric_column])
In [138]:
##################################
# Formulating the pairwise correlation summary
# between the target variable
# and numeric predictor columns
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_summary = cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric.from_dict(cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_correlation_target, orient='index')
cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_summary.columns = ['Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient', 'Correlation.PValue']
display(cancer_rate_preprocessed_numeric_summary.sort_values(by=['Correlation.PValue'], ascending=True).head(13))
Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient Correlation.PValue
CANRAT_CANRAT 1.000000 0.000000e+00
CANRAT_GDPCAP 0.735131 5.617239e-29
CANRAT_LIFEXP 0.702430 1.491302e-25
CANRAT_DTHCMD -0.687136 4.164564e-24
CANRAT_EPISCO 0.648431 8.136735e-21
CANRAT_TUBINC -0.628877 2.503346e-19
CANRAT_CO2EMI 0.585452 2.251585e-16
CANRAT_POPGRO -0.498457 1.278437e-11
CANRAT_URBPOP 0.479386 9.543704e-11
CANRAT_GHGEMI 0.232488 2.822914e-03
CANRAT_FORARE 0.165265 3.500992e-02
CANRAT_AGRLND -0.024520 7.560347e-01
CANRAT_POPDEN 0.001902 9.807807e-01
In [139]:
##################################
# Computing the t-test 
# statistic and p-values
# between the target variable
# and categorical predictor columns
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_ttest_target = {}
cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical = cancer_rate_preprocessed[['CANRAT','HDICAT_L','HDICAT_M','HDICAT_H','HDICAT_VH']]
cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_columns = ['HDICAT_L','HDICAT_M','HDICAT_H','HDICAT_VH']
for categorical_column in cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_columns:
    group_0 = cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical[cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical.loc[:,categorical_column]==0]
    group_1 = cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical[cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical.loc[:,categorical_column]==1]
    cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_ttest_target['CANRAT_' + categorical_column] = stats.ttest_ind(
        group_0['CANRAT'], 
        group_1['CANRAT'], 
        equal_var=True)
In [140]:
##################################
# Formulating the pairwise ttest summary
# between the target variable
# and categorical predictor columns
##################################
cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_summary = cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical.from_dict(cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_ttest_target, orient='index')
cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_summary.columns = ['T.Test.Statistic', 'T.Test.PValue']
display(cancer_rate_preprocessed_categorical_summary.sort_values(by=['T.Test.PValue'], ascending=True).head(4))
T.Test.Statistic T.Test.PValue
CANRAT_HDICAT_VH -10.605706 2.909971e-20
CANRAT_HDICAT_L 6.559780 7.003957e-10
CANRAT_HDICAT_M 5.104986 9.237518e-07
CANRAT_HDICAT_H -0.635957 5.257075e-01

1.6. Linear Regression Model Coefficient Estimation ¶

1.6.1 Premodelling Data Description ¶

  1. Among the predictor variables determined to have a statistically significant linear relationship between the CANRAT target variable, only 2 were retained with absolute Pearson correlation coefficient values greater than 0.70.
    • GDPCAP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.735, Correlation.PValue=0.000
    • LIFEXP: Pearson.Correlation.Coefficient=+0.702, Correlation.PValue=0.000
In [141]:
##################################
# Consolidating relevant numeric columns
# and encoded categorical columns
# after hypothesis testing
##################################
cancer_rate_premodelling = cancer_rate_preprocessed.drop(['DTHCMD','EPISCO','TUBINC','CO2EMI','AGRLND','POPDEN','GHGEMI','FORARE','POPGRO','URBPOP','HDICAT_VH','HDICAT_H','HDICAT_M','HDICAT_L'], axis=1)
In [142]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the filtered dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(cancer_rate_premodelling.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(163, 3)
In [143]:
##################################
# Listing the column names and data types
##################################
print('Column Names and Data Types:')
display(cancer_rate_premodelling.dtypes)
Column Names and Data Types:
CANRAT    float64
LIFEXP    float64
GDPCAP    float64
dtype: object
In [144]:
##################################
# Taking a snapshot of the dataset
##################################
cancer_rate_premodelling.head()
Out[144]:
CANRAT LIFEXP GDPCAP
0 2.076468 1.643195 1.549766
1 1.962991 1.487969 1.407752
2 1.742760 1.537044 1.879374
3 1.690866 0.664178 1.685426
4 1.634224 1.381877 1.657777
In [145]:
##################################
# Gathering the pairplot for all variables
##################################
sns.pairplot(cancer_rate_premodelling, kind='reg')
plt.show()
No description has been provided for this image
In [146]:
##################################
# Separating the target 
# and predictor columns
##################################
X = cancer_rate_premodelling.drop('CANRAT', axis = 1)
y = cancer_rate_premodelling.CANRAT
In [147]:
##################################
# Formulating the train and test data
# using a 70-30 ratio
##################################
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size = 0.385, random_state= 88888888)
In [148]:
##################################
# Performing a general exploration of the train dataset
##################################
print('Dataset Dimensions: ')
display(X_train.shape)
Dataset Dimensions: 
(100, 2)

1.6.2 Normal Equations ¶

Normal Equations are a system of equations whose solution is the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator of the regression coefficients and which are derived from the first-order condition of the least squares minimization problem. These equations are obtained by setting equal to zero the partial derivatives of the sum of squared errors (least squares). This approach is a closed-form solution and a one-step algorithm used to analytically find the coefficients that minimize the loss function.

  1. Applying normal equations, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = -0.03090
    • LIFEXP = +0.24944
    • GDPCAP = +0.51737
  2. The linear regression model from the sklearn.linear_model Python library API was implemented which generated the same regression coefficient estimates.
  3. These estimated coefficients will be the baseline values from which all gradient descent algorithm-derived coefficients will be compared with.
In [149]:
##################################
# Defining the components
# for matrix algebra computations
# using Normal Equations
##################################
num_observations = X_train.shape[0]
constant_array = np.ones(num_observations)
x_train_matrix = np.array([constant_array,X_train.LIFEXP,X_train.GDPCAP]).T
In [150]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the Normal Equations
##################################
linear_regression_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_estimates = pd.DataFrame(np.linalg.inv(np.dot(x_train_matrix.T,x_train_matrix)).dot(x_train_matrix.T).dot(y_train))
linear_regression_normal_equations = pd.concat([linear_regression_coefficients, linear_regression_estimates], axis=1)
linear_regression_normal_equations.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate']
linear_regression_normal_equations.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_normal_equations)
Coefficient Estimate
0 INTERCEPT -0.030898
1 LIFEXP 0.249436
2 GDPCAP 0.517370
In [151]:
##################################
# Defining the linear regression model
# using the Scikit-Learn package
##################################
linear_regression = LinearRegression()

##################################
# Fitting a linear regression model
##################################
linear_regression.fit(X_train, y_train)
Out[151]:
LinearRegression()
In a Jupyter environment, please rerun this cell to show the HTML representation or trust the notebook.
On GitHub, the HTML representation is unable to render, please try loading this page with nbviewer.org.
LinearRegression()
In [152]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the Scikit-Learn package
##################################
linear_regression_intercept = pd.DataFrame(zip(["INTERCEPT"], [linear_regression.intercept_]))
linear_regression_predictors = pd.DataFrame(zip(X_train.columns, linear_regression.coef_))
linear_regression_scikitlearn_estimates = pd.concat([linear_regression_intercept, linear_regression_predictors], axis=0)
linear_regression_scikitlearn_estimates.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
linear_regression_method = pd.DataFrame(["Normal_Equations"]*3)
linear_regression_scikitlearn_computations = pd.concat([linear_regression_scikitlearn_estimates,linear_regression_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_scikitlearn_computations.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate','Method']
linear_regression_scikitlearn_computations.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_scikitlearn_computations)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT -0.030898 Normal_Equations
1 LIFEXP 0.249436 Normal_Equations
2 GDPCAP 0.517370 Normal_Equations
In [153]:
##################################
# Setting the regression coefficients
# determined using normal equations
# as the target coefficient estimates
##################################
intercept = -0.03090
theta_1 = 0.24944
theta_2 = 0.51737
theta_target = np.array([[intercept], [theta_1], [theta_2]])
In [154]:
##################################
# Setting the response variable format
##################################
y_train = np.array([y_train]).T
In [155]:
##################################
# Defining the function for
# computing the cost
##################################
def compute_cost(X, y, theta):
    m = len(y)
    predictions = X.dot(theta)
    error = predictions - y
    cost = (1 / (2 * m)) * np.sum(error ** 2)
    return cost
In [156]:
##################################
# Computing the target cost
##################################
costs_minimum = compute_cost(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, theta=theta_target)
costs_minimum
Out[156]:
np.float64(0.23360776606114267)

1.6.3 Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Batch Gradient Descent uses the entire training dataset to compute the gradients of the loss function with respect to the model parameters. The gradients are computed for all training examples simultaneously, and then the model parameters are updated accordingly. This approach provides the most accurate estimate of the gradient, as it considers all data points. However, it can be computationally expensive, especially for large datasets, because it requires processing the entire dataset in each iteration. Despite its computational cost, full batch gradient descent is guaranteed to converge to the global minimum of the loss function, assuming the learning rate is appropriately chosen and the loss function is convex.

  1. The batch gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.001 (Low)
    • Iteration = 1000
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on Complete 100 Cases)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.24303 at the 1000th epoch was not optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was stable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the batch gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = -0.00359 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.30548 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.32733 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the batch gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate were not fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [157]:
##################################
# Defining the function for implementing
# the full batch gradient descent algorithm
#################################
def full_batch_gradient_descent(X, y, learning_rate, num_iterations):
    num_samples, num_features = X.shape
    theta = np.zeros((num_features, 1))
    costs = []
    theta_path = []
    for _ in range(num_iterations):
        gradient = (1 / num_samples) * X.T.dot(X.dot(theta) - y)
        theta -= learning_rate * gradient
        cost = compute_cost(X, y, theta)
        costs.append(cost)
        theta_path.append(theta.ravel().copy())
    return theta, costs, np.array(theta_path)
In [158]:
##################################
# Implementing the full batch gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
theta_full, costs_full, theta_path_full = full_batch_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, learning_rate=0.001, num_iterations=1000)
In [159]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the full batch gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_full)), costs_full)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Full Batch: Learning Rate = 0.001');
No description has been provided for this image
In [160]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the full batch gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[:, i], costs_full, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[0][i],costs_full[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[-1][i],costs_full[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [161]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_bgd_llearningrate = costs_full[-1]
loss_vector_bgd_llearningrate
Out[161]:
np.float64(0.24303085033472172)
In [162]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the full batch gradient descent process
# with low learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_full[-1])
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT -0.003588 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.305487 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.327332 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate

1.6.4 Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Batch Gradient Descent uses the entire training dataset to compute the gradients of the loss function with respect to the model parameters. The gradients are computed for all training examples simultaneously, and then the model parameters are updated accordingly. This approach provides the most accurate estimate of the gradient, as it considers all data points. However, it can be computationally expensive, especially for large datasets, because it requires processing the entire dataset in each iteration. Despite its computational cost, full batch gradient descent is guaranteed to converge to the global minimum of the loss function, assuming the learning rate is appropriately chosen and the loss function is convex.

  1. The batch gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.100 (High)
    • Iteration = 1000
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on Complete 100 Cases)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.23361 at the 1000th epoch was optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was stable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the batch gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = -0.03090 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.24944 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.51737 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the batch gradient descent algorithm with a high learning rate were fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [163]:
##################################
# Implementing the full batch gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a high learning rate value
##################################
theta_full, costs_full, theta_path_full = full_batch_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, learning_rate=0.100, num_iterations=1000)
In [164]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the full batch gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_full)), costs_full)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Full Batch: Learning Rate = 0.100');
No description has been provided for this image
In [165]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the full batch gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[:, i], costs_full, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[0][i],costs_full[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_full[-1][i],costs_full[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [166]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_bgd_hlearningrate = costs_full[-1]
loss_vector_bgd_hlearningrate
Out[166]:
np.float64(0.23360776605265446)
In [167]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the full batch gradient descent process
# with high learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_full[-1])
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT -0.030898 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.249438 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.517368 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate

1.6.5 Stochastic Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Stochastic Gradient Descent uses only one randomly selected training example at each iteration to compute the gradient of the loss function. The model parameters are updated based on the gradient computed from this single example. Since this approach updates the parameters more frequently with noisy estimates of the gradient, it tends to have more frequent but noisy updates, leading to faster convergence in terms of wall-clock time compared to full batch gradient descent. However, the stochastic nature of the updates can cause oscillations in the training process, and the updates may not accurately represent the true direction of the gradient.

  1. The stochastic gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.001 (Low)
    • Iteration = 10
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on 1 Randomly Sampled Case)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.24047 at the 1000th epoch was not optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was completely unstable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the stochastic gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = +0.02196 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.32418 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.34225 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the stochastic gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate were not fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [168]:
##################################
# Defining the function for implementing
# the stochastic gradient descent algorithm
#################################
def stochastic_gradient_descent(X, y, learning_rate, num_iterations):
    num_samples, num_features = X.shape
    theta = np.zeros((num_features, 1))
    costs = []
    theta_path = []
    for _ in range(num_iterations):
        for i in range(num_samples):
            random_index = np.random.randint(num_samples)
            xi = X[random_index:random_index+1]
            yi = y[random_index:random_index+1]
            gradient = xi.T.dot(xi.dot(theta) - yi)
            theta -= learning_rate * gradient
            cost = compute_cost(X, y, theta)
            costs.append(cost)
            theta_path.append(theta.ravel().copy())
    return theta, costs, np.array(theta_path)
In [169]:
##################################
# Implementing the stochastic gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
theta_stochastic, costs_stochastic, theta_path_stochastic = stochastic_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, learning_rate=0.001, num_iterations=10)
In [170]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the stochastic gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_stochastic)), costs_stochastic)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Stochastic: Learning Rate = 0.001');
No description has been provided for this image
In [171]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the stochastic gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[:, i], costs_stochastic, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[0][i],costs_stochastic[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[-1][i],costs_stochastic[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [172]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_sgd_llearningrate = costs_stochastic[-1]
loss_vector_sgd_llearningrate
Out[172]:
np.float64(0.24109577281799918)
In [173]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the stochastic gradient descent process
# with low learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_stochastic[-1])
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT 0.005041 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.305187 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.345268 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate

1.6.6 Stochastic Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Stochastic Gradient Descent uses only one randomly selected training example at each iteration to compute the gradient of the loss function. The model parameters are updated based on the gradient computed from this single example. Since this approach updates the parameters more frequently with noisy estimates of the gradient, it tends to have more frequent but noisy updates, leading to faster convergence in terms of wall-clock time compared to full batch gradient descent. However, the stochastic nature of the updates can cause oscillations in the training process, and the updates may not accurately represent the true direction of the gradient.

  1. The stochastic gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.100 (High)
    • Iteration = 10
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on 1 Randomly Sampled Case)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.24382 at the 1000th epoch was not optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was completely unstable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the stochastic gradient descent algorithm with a high learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = +0.01252 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.46349 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.41938 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the stochastic gradient descent algorithm with a high learning rate were not fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [174]:
##################################
# Implementing the stochastic gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a high learning rate value
##################################
theta_stochastic, costs_stochastic, theta_path_stochastic = stochastic_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, learning_rate=0.100, num_iterations=10)
In [175]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the stochastic gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_stochastic)), costs_stochastic)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Stochastic: Learning Rate = 0.100');
No description has been provided for this image
In [176]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the stochastic gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[:, i], costs_stochastic, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[0][i],costs_stochastic[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_stochastic[-1][i],costs_stochastic[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [177]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_sgd_hlearningrate = costs_stochastic[-1]
loss_vector_sgd_hlearningrate
Out[177]:
np.float64(0.2619685605234064)
In [178]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the stochastic gradient descent process
# with high learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_stochastic[-1])
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT 0.169979 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.004367 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.690416 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate

1.6.7 Mini-Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with Low Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Mini-Batch Gradient Descent serves as a compromise between full batch gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent. Instead of processing the entire dataset or just one example at a time, mini-batch gradient descent divides the dataset into small batches of fixed size. The gradients are computed for each mini-batch, and the model parameters are updated based on the average gradient computed from the mini-batch. This approach combines the advantages of both full batch and stochastic gradient descent. It provides more stable updates compared to stochastic gradient descent while being computationally more efficient than full batch gradient descent. The batch size can be adjusted based on computational resources and desired convergence properties.

  1. The mini-batch gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.001 (Low)
    • Batch = 10
    • Iteration = 100
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on a Batch of 10 Cases)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.24304 at the 1000th epoch was not optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was slightly unstable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the mini-batch gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = -0.15514 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.32904 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.42670 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the mini-batch gradient descent algorithm with a low learning rate were not fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [179]:
##################################
# Defining the function for implementing
# the mini-batch gradient descent algorithm
#################################
def mini_batch_gradient_descent(X, y, batch_size, learning_rate, num_iterations):
    num_samples, num_features = X.shape
    theta = np.zeros((num_features, 1))
    costs = []
    theta_path = []
    for _ in range(num_iterations):
        for i in range(0, num_samples, batch_size):
            xi = X[i:i+batch_size]
            yi = y[i:i+batch_size]
            gradient = (1 / batch_size) * xi.T.dot(xi.dot(theta) - yi)
            theta -= learning_rate * gradient
            cost = compute_cost(X, y, theta)
            costs.append(cost)
            theta_path.append(theta.ravel().copy())
    return theta, costs, np.array(theta_path)
In [180]:
##################################
# Implementing the mini-batch gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
theta_mini_batch, costs_mini_batch, theta_path_mini_batch = mini_batch_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, batch_size=10, learning_rate=0.001, num_iterations=100)
In [181]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the mini-batch gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_mini_batch)), costs_mini_batch)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Mini-Batch: Learning Rate = 0.001');
No description has been provided for this image
In [182]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the mini_batch gradient descent process
# using a low learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[:, i], costs_mini_batch, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[0][i],costs_mini_batch[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[-1][i],costs_mini_batch[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [183]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_mbgd_llearningrate = costs_mini_batch[-1]
loss_vector_mbgd_llearningrate
Out[183]:
np.float64(0.243043097470057)
In [184]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the mini-batch gradient descent process
# with low learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_stochastic[-1])
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT 0.169979 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.004367 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.690416 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate

1.6.8 Mini-Batch Gradient Descent Algorithm with High Learning Rate ¶

Gradient Descent minimizes the loss function parameterized by the model’s coefficients based on the direction and learning rate factors which determine the partial derivative calculations of future iterations, allowing the algorithm to gradually arrive at the local or global minimum considered the point of convergence.

Mini-Batch Gradient Descent serves as a compromise between full batch gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent. Instead of processing the entire dataset or just one example at a time, mini-batch gradient descent divides the dataset into small batches of fixed size. The gradients are computed for each mini-batch, and the model parameters are updated based on the average gradient computed from the mini-batch. This approach combines the advantages of both full batch and stochastic gradient descent. It provides more stable updates compared to stochastic gradient descent while being computationally more efficient than full batch gradient descent. The batch size can be adjusted based on computational resources and desired convergence properties.

  1. The mini-batch gradient descent algorithm was implemented with parameter settings described as follows:
    • Learning Rate = 0.100 (High)
    • Batch = 10
    • Iteration = 100
    • Epochs = 1000 (Gradient Computation Based on a Batch of 10 Cases)
  2. The final cost estimate determined as 0.23426 at the 1000th epoch was not optimally low as compared to the minimum cost determined as 0.23361 using normal equations.
  3. The cost function profile was slightly unstable during the epoch training process.
  4. Applying the mini-batch gradient descent algorithm with a high learning rate, the estimated linear regression coefficients for the given data are as follows:
    • INTERCEPT = -0.00300 (Baseline = -0.03090)
    • LIFEXP = +0.10051 (Baseline = +0.24944)
    • GDPCAP = +0.43251 (Baseline = +0.51737)
  5. The estimated coefficients using the mini-batch gradient descent algorithm with a high learning rate were not fully optimized and comparable with the baseline coefficients using normal equations.
In [185]:
##################################
# Implementing the mini-batch gradient descent process
# for determining the regression coefficients
# using a low learning rate value
##################################
theta_mini_batch, costs_mini_batch, theta_path_mini_batch = mini_batch_gradient_descent(X=x_train_matrix, y=y_train, batch_size=10, learning_rate=0.100, num_iterations=100)
In [186]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the mini-batch gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
##################################
fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.4, 5))
plt.plot(range(len(costs_mini_batch)), costs_mini_batch)
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Cost')
plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
plt.xlim(0,1000)
plt.title('Mini-Batch: Learning Rate = 0.100');
No description has been provided for this image
In [187]:
##################################
# Plotting the cost function profile
# for the mini_batch gradient descent process
# using a high learning rate value
# with respect to each individual coefficient estimate
##################################
plt.figure(figsize=(15, 5))
num_coeffs = x_train_matrix.shape[1]
for i in range(num_coeffs):
    plt.subplot(1, num_coeffs, i + 1)
    for j in range(num_coeffs):
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[:, i], costs_mini_batch, label='Theta {}'.format(i))
        plt.plot(theta_target[i], costs_minimum, marker='p', markersize=15, color='#FF0000')
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[0][i],costs_mini_batch[0], marker='d', markersize=10, color='#00FF0060')
        plt.plot(theta_path_mini_batch[-1][i],costs_mini_batch[-1], marker='o', markersize=10, color='#0000FF60')
    plt.ylim(0.20, 0.55)
    plt.xlim(-0.10,0.60)
    plt.xlabel('Theta_{}'.format(i))
    plt.ylabel('Cost')
    plt.title('Theta_{} Estimation'.format(i))
No description has been provided for this image
In [188]:
##################################
# Determining the final estimated loss
##################################
loss_vector_mbgd_hlearningrate = costs_mini_batch[-1]
loss_vector_mbgd_hlearningrate
Out[188]:
np.float64(0.2342597006643096)
In [189]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using the mini-batch gradient descent process
# with high learning rate
##################################
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_coefficients = pd.DataFrame(["INTERCEPT","LIFEXP","GDPCAP"])
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate = pd.DataFrame(theta_path_stochastic[-1])
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_method = pd.DataFrame(["MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate"]*3)
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_summary = pd.concat([linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_coefficients, 
                                                         linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate,
                                                         linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_method], axis=1)
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_summary.columns = ['Coefficient', 'Estimate', 'Method']
linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_summary.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_summary)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT 0.169979 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
1 LIFEXP 0.004367 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
2 GDPCAP 0.690416 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate

1.7. Consolidated Findings ¶

  1. The gradient descent approach and parameter setting which estimated sufficiently comparable coefficients with the baseline values is as follows:
    • BGD_HLR = Batch Gradient Descent and High Learning Rate (0.100)
  2. The choice of Approach, Learning Rate and Epoch Count in the implementation of the gradient descent algorithm are critical to achieving fully optimized coefficients while maintaining minimal cost estimates.
In [190]:
##################################
# Consolidating the regression coefficients
# obtained using all estimation methods
##################################
linear_regression_methods = pd.concat([linear_regression_scikitlearn_computations, 
                                       linear_regression_bgd_llearningrate_summary,
                                       linear_regression_bgd_hlearningrate_summary,
                                       linear_regression_sgd_llearningrate_summary,
                                       linear_regression_sgd_hlearningrate_summary,
                                       linear_regression_mbgd_llearningrate_summary,
                                       linear_regression_mbgd_hlearningrate_summary], axis=0)
linear_regression_methods.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
display(linear_regression_methods)
Coefficient Estimate Method
0 INTERCEPT -0.030898 Normal_Equations
1 LIFEXP 0.249436 Normal_Equations
2 GDPCAP 0.517370 Normal_Equations
3 INTERCEPT -0.003588 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
4 LIFEXP 0.305487 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
5 GDPCAP 0.327332 BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
6 INTERCEPT -0.030898 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
7 LIFEXP 0.249438 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
8 GDPCAP 0.517368 BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
9 INTERCEPT 0.005041 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
10 LIFEXP 0.305187 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
11 GDPCAP 0.345268 StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
12 INTERCEPT 0.169979 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
13 LIFEXP 0.004367 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
14 GDPCAP 0.690416 StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
15 INTERCEPT 0.169979 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
16 LIFEXP 0.004367 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
17 GDPCAP 0.690416 MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate
18 INTERCEPT 0.169979 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
19 LIFEXP 0.004367 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
20 GDPCAP 0.690416 MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate
In [191]:
consolidated_ne = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='Normal_Equations'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_bgd_llr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='BatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_bgd_hlr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='BatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_sgd_llr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='StochasticGradientDescent_LowLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_sgd_hlr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='StochasticGradientDescent_HighLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_mbgd_llr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='MiniBatchGradientDescent_LowLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
consolidated_mbgd_hlr = linear_regression_methods[linear_regression_methods['Method']=='MiniBatchGradientDescent_HighLearningRate'].loc[:,"Estimate"]
linear_regression_methods_plot = pd.DataFrame({'NE': consolidated_ne.values,
                                               'BGD_LLR': consolidated_bgd_llr.values,
                                               'BGD_HLR': consolidated_bgd_hlr.values,
                                               'SGD_LLR': consolidated_sgd_llr.values,
                                               'SGD_HLR': consolidated_sgd_hlr.values,
                                               'MBGD_LLR': consolidated_mbgd_llr.values,
                                               'MBGD_HLR': consolidated_mbgd_hlr.values},
                                              linear_regression_methods['Coefficient'].unique())
linear_regression_methods_plot
Out[191]:
NE BGD_LLR BGD_HLR SGD_LLR SGD_HLR MBGD_LLR MBGD_HLR
INTERCEPT -0.030898 -0.003588 -0.030898 0.005041 0.169979 0.169979 0.169979
LIFEXP 0.249436 0.305487 0.249438 0.305187 0.004367 0.004367 0.004367
GDPCAP 0.517370 0.327332 0.517368 0.345268 0.690416 0.690416 0.690416
In [192]:
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot = linear_regression_methods_plot.plot.barh(figsize=(10, 6),width=0.90)
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.set_xlim(-0.5,3)
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.set_title("Linear Regression Coefficient Comparison by Estimation Method")
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.set_xlabel("Linear Regression Coefficient Estimates")
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.set_ylabel("Linear Regression Coefficients")
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.grid(False)
linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.legend(loc='center left', bbox_to_anchor=(1.0, 0.5))
for container in linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.containers:
    linear_regression_coefficent_estimation_methods_plot.bar_label(container, fmt='%.5f', padding=5, color='black')
No description has been provided for this image

2. Summary ¶

Project47_Summary.png

3. References ¶

  • [Book] Deep Learning: A Visual Approach by Andrew Glassner
  • [Book] Deep Learning with Python by François Chollet
  • [Book] Data Preparation for Machine Learning: Data Cleaning, Feature Selection, and Data Transforms in Python by Jason Brownlee (Machine Learning Mastery)
  • [Book] Feature Engineering and Selection: A Practical Approach for Predictive Models by Max Kuhn and Kjell Johnson
  • [Book] Feature Engineering for Machine Learning by Alice Zheng and Amanda Casari
  • [Book] Applied Predictive Modeling by Max Kuhn and Kjell Johnson
  • [Book] Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques by Ian Witten, Eibe Frank, Mark Hall and Christopher Pal
  • [Book] Data Cleaning by Ihab Ilyas and Xu Chu
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  • [Book] Regression Modeling Strategies by Frank Harrell
  • [Python Library API] NumPy by NumPy Team
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  • [Python Library API] seaborn by Seaborn Team
  • [Python Library API] matplotlib.pyplot by MatPlotLib Team
  • [Python Library API] itertools by Python Team
  • [Python Library API] operator by Python Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.experimental by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.impute by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.linear_model by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.preprocessing by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.metrics by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.model_selection by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] sklearn.pipeline by Scikit-Learn Team
  • [Python Library API] scipy by SciPy Team
  • [Article] Exploratory Data Analysis in Python — A Step-by-Step Process by Andrea D'Agostino (Towards Data Science)
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  • [Article] Imputing Missing Data with Simple and Advanced Techniques by Idil Ismiguzel (Towards Data Science)
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  • [Article] Master The Skills Of Missing Data Imputation Techniques In Python(2022) And Be Successful by Mrinal Walia (Analytics Vidhya)
  • [Article] How to Preprocess Data in Python by Afroz Chakure (BuiltIn)
  • [Article] Easy Guide To Data Preprocessing In Python by Ahmad Anis (KDNuggets)
  • [Article] Data Preprocessing in Python by Tarun Gupta (Towards Data Science)
  • [Article] Data Preprocessing using Python by Suneet Jain (Medium)
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  • [Article] Data Preprocessing in Python by Afroz Chakure (Medium)
  • [Article] Detecting and Treating Outliers | Treating the Odd One Out! by Harika Bonthu (Analytics Vidhya)
  • [Article] Outlier Treatment with Python by Sangita Yemulwar (Analytics Vidhya)
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  • [Article] How To Find Outliers in Data Using Python (and How To Handle Them) by Eric Kleppen (Career Foundry)
  • [Article] Statistics in Python — Collinearity and Multicollinearity by Wei-Meng Lee (Towards Data Science)
  • [Article] Understanding Multicollinearity and How to Detect it in Python by Terence Shin (Towards Data Science)
  • [Article] A Python Library to Remove Collinearity by Gianluca Malato (Your Data Teacher)
  • [Article] 8 Best Data Transformation in Pandas by Tirendaz AI (Medium)
  • [Article] Data Transformation Techniques with Python: Elevate Your Data Game! by Siddharth Verma (Medium)
  • [Article] Data Scaling with Python by Benjamin Obi Tayo (KDNuggets)
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  • [Article] Feature Engineering: Scaling, Normalization, and Standardization by Aniruddha Bhandari (Analytics Vidhya)
  • [Article] How to Normalize Data Using scikit-learn in Python by Jayant Verma (Digital Ocean)
  • [Article] What are Categorical Data Encoding Methods | Binary Encoding by Shipra Saxena (Analytics Vidhya)
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  • [Article] Hypothesis Testing with Python: Step by Step Hands-On Tutorial with Practical Examples by Ece Işık Polat (Towards Data Science)
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  • [Article] A Step-by-Step Guide to Hypothesis Testing in Python using Scipy by Gabriel Rennó (Medium)
  • [Article] Gradient Descent and Stochastic Gradient Descent in R by Jason Anastasopoulos
  • [Article] Linear Regression Tutorial Using Gradient Descent for Machine Learning by Jason Brownlee (Machine Learning Mastery)
  • [Article] An Overview of Gradient Descent Optimization Algorithms by Sebastian Ruder
  • [Article] What is Gradient Descent? by IBM Team
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  • [Article] Gradient Descent for Linear Regression Explained, Step by Step by Boris Giba
  • [Article] Gradient Descent Explained Simply with Examples by Ajitesh Kumar
  • [Article] Implementing the Gradient Descent Algorithm in R by Richter Walsh
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  • [Article] ML | Normal Equation in Linear Regression by Geeks For Geeks Team
  • [Article] Derivation of the Normal Equation for Linear Regression by Eli Bendersky
  • [Article] Normal Equation by ML Wiki Team
  • [Article] Normal Equations by Marco Taboga
  • [Article] Fitting a Model via Closed-form Equations versus Gradient Descent Versus Stochastic Gradient Descent Versus Mini-Batch Learning. What is the Difference? by Sebastian Raschka
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  • [Article] Batch, Mini Batch & Stochastic Gradient Descent by Sushant Patrikar (Towards Data Science)
  • [Article] Difference between Batch Gradient Descent and Stochastic Gradient Descent by Geeks for Geeks Team
  • [Article] Variants of Gradient Descent Algorithm by Himanshi Singh (Analytics Vidhya)
  • [Article] Difference Between SGD, GD, and Mini-batch GD by Jay Singh (TutorialsPoint)
  • [Article] Batch , Mini Batch and Stochastic Gradient Descent by Sweta (Medium)
  • [Article] A Gentle Introduction to Mini-Batch Gradient Descent and How to Configure Batch Size by Jason Brownlee (Machine Learning Mastery)
  • [Article] Batch vs Mini-batch vs Stochastic Gradient Descent with Code Examples by Matheus Jacques (Medium)
  • [Article] Batch vs Stochastic vs Mini Batch Gradient Descent Techniques by Aman Agrawal (Medium)
  • [Article] Difference Between a Batch and an Epoch in a Neural Network by Jason Brownlee (Machine Learning Mastery)
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  • [Publication] New Methods for the Determination of Comet Orbits by Adrien-Marie Legendre
  • [Publication] General Method for the Resolution of a System of Simultaneous Equations by Augustine Cauchy
  • [Publication] Data Quality for Machine Learning Tasks by Nitin Gupta, Shashank Mujumdar, Hima Patel, Satoshi Masuda, Naveen Panwar, Sambaran Bandyopadhyay, Sameep Mehta, Shanmukha Guttula, Shazia Afzal, Ruhi Sharma Mittal and Vitobha Munigala (KDD ’21: Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining)
  • [Publication] Overview and Importance of Data Quality for Machine Learning Tasks by Abhinav Jain, Hima Patel, Lokesh Nagalapatti, Nitin Gupta, Sameep Mehta, Shanmukha Guttula, Shashank Mujumdar, Shazia Afzal, Ruhi Sharma Mittal and Vitobha Munigala (KDD ’20: Proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining)
  • [Publication] Multiple Imputation of Discrete and Continuous Data by Fully Conditional Specification by Stef van Buuren (Statistical Methods in Medical Research)
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  • [Course] IBM Data Analyst Professional Certificate by IBM Team (Coursera)
  • [Course] IBM Data Science Professional Certificate by IBM Team (Coursera)
  • [Course] IBM Machine Learning Professional Certificate by IBM Team (Coursera)
  • [Course] Machine Learning Specialization Certificate by DeepLearning.AI Team (Coursera)

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from IPython.display import display, HTML
display(HTML("<style>.rendered_html { font-size: 15px; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS'; }</style>"))